← Partidos
Amistososáb, 06 jun, 14:00
Eventos
39'🟨
Y. Vorogovskiy (Yellow Card)
Y. Vorogovskiy (Yellow Card)46'🔄G. Kenzhebek → I. Chesnokov (Substitution 1)
G. Kenzhebek → I. Chesnokov (Substitution 1)46'🔄A. Zarutskiy → B. Shayzada (Substitution 2)
A. Zarutskiy → B. Shayzada (Substitution 2)50'⚽M. Samorodov
M. Samorodov53'⚽
E. Spertsyan
E. Spertsyan57'🟨Junior Julio (Yellow Card)
Junior Julio (Yellow Card)64'🔄Z. Amir → D. Karaman (Substitution 3)
Z. Amir → D. Karaman (Substitution 3)64'🔄R. Orazov → A. Nurymbet (Substitution 4)
R. Orazov → A. Nurymbet (Substitution 4)68'🔄A. Serobyan → E. Sevikyan (Substitution 1)
A. Serobyan → E. Sevikyan (Substitution 1)68'🔄G. Ranos → D. Davidyan (Substitution 2)
G. Ranos → D. Davidyan (Substitution 2)71'🟨A. Ashirbek (Yellow Card)
A. Ashirbek (Yellow Card)79'🔄A. Kasym → S. Maliy (Substitution 5)
A. Kasym → S. Maliy (Substitution 5)79'🔄D. Satpaev → R. Murtazaev (Substitution 6)
D. Satpaev → R. Murtazaev (Substitution 6)80'🔄A. Miranyan → G. Manvelyan (Substitution 3)
A. Miranyan → G. Manvelyan (Substitution 3)80'🔄K. Hovhannisyan → T. Avanesyan (Substitution 4)
K. Hovhannisyan → T. Avanesyan (Substitution 4)80'🔄K. Hovhannisyan → A. Bandikyan (Substitution 5)
K. Hovhannisyan → A. Bandikyan (Substitution 5)88'🔄I. Kuat → E. Tapalov (Substitution 7)
I. Kuat → E. Tapalov (Substitution 7)88'🔄M. Samorodov → M. Abrayev (Substitution 8)
M. Samorodov → M. Abrayev (Substitution 8)Alineaciones
Armenia5-3-2
- 1Ognjen ČančarevićG
- 13Kamo HovhannisyanD
- 3Erik PiloyanD
- 20José Junior BuenoD
- 4Georgiy HarutyunyanD
- 21Nair TiknizyanD
- 9Artur SerobyanM
- 10Eduard SpertsyanM
- 8Karlen HovhannisyanM
- 18Artur MiranyanF
- 17Grant-Leon RanosF
Banco
Aleksandr Mishiev, Henri Avagyan, David Davidyan, Argishti Petrosyan, Edgar Grigoryan, Arman Ghazaryan, Artem Bandikyan, Edgar Sevikyan, Tigran Avanesyan, Zhirayr Shaghoyan, Gor Manvelyan, Narek Hovhannisyan, Aram Khamoyan, Narek Grigoryan, Davit Hakobyan
Kazajistán4-3-3
- 16Aleksandr ZarutskiyG
- 4Arsen AshirbekM
- 6Alibek KasymD
- 3Nuraly AlipD
- 11Yan VorogovskiyD
- 8Zhasulan AmirF
- 5Islambek KuatM
- 20Ramazan OrazovM
- 10Maksim SamorodovM
- 19Dastan SatpaevF
- 7Galymzhan KenzhebekM
Banco
Bekkhan Shayzada, Temirlan Anarbekov, Sergey Maliy, Aleksandr Mrynskiy, Erkin Tapalov, Sanzhar Satanov, Islam Chesnokov, Sagi Sovet, Dinmukhamed Karaman, Abinur Nurymbet, Adilet Sadybekov, Maksat Abraev, Roman Murtazaev, Magzhan Toktybay
Predicción 1·X·2
Modelo
26%X 27%48%
Mercado
45%X 28%28%
En vivo
0%X 100%0%
Goles esperados: 1.0–1.4 · marcador probable 0-1
Verde local · gris empate · celeste visitante.
¿Cómo lo calculamos?
Estimamos cada partido combinando varias señales:
- Fuerza base (Elo): Armenia 1378 · Kazakhstan 1431 (-53)
- Forma del último año: Armenia -205 · Kazakhstan +84
- Goles esperados: 0.98–1.43 (salen de Elo, ataque/defensa, localía, clima y bajas)
- Con esos goles esperados, una distribución de Poisson reparte: L 26% · X 27% · V 48% · marcador probable 0-1
✗ Falló
Predicho: Kazajistán · Real: X. Le asignábamos 26.7% a lo que pasó.