← Partidos
Amistososáb, 06 jun, 18:00
Eventos
5'🟨
E. Duarte (Yellow Card)
E. Duarte (Yellow Card)8'⚽D. Sinani · A. Dardari
D. Sinani · A. Dardari32'🟨
K. Asllani (Yellow Card)
K. Asllani (Yellow Card)36'🟨Q. Laci (Yellow Card)
Q. Laci (Yellow Card)36'🟨S. Korac (Yellow Card)
S. Korac (Yellow Card)46'🔄E. Duarte → E. Muratovic (Substitution 1)
E. Duarte → E. Muratovic (Substitution 1)46'🔄L. Jans → F. Bohnert (Substitution 2)
L. Jans → F. Bohnert (Substitution 2)46'🔄Mica Pinto → E. Mahmutovic (Substitution 3)
Mica Pinto → E. Mahmutovic (Substitution 3)46'🔄N. Bajrami → T. Seferi (Substitution 1)
N. Bajrami → T. Seferi (Substitution 1)46'🔄Q. Laci → C. Shpendi (Substitution 2)
Q. Laci → C. Shpendi (Substitution 2)46'🔄B. Pllana → A. Ajeti (Substitution 3)
B. Pllana → A. Ajeti (Substitution 3)46'🔄Y. Ramadani → J. Shehu (Substitution 4)
Y. Ramadani → J. Shehu (Substitution 4)63'🔄K. Asllani → A. Pajaziti (Substitution 5)
K. Asllani → A. Pajaziti (Substitution 5)63'🔄A. Hoxha → A. Broja (Substitution 6)
A. Hoxha → A. Broja (Substitution 6)69'🔄A. Dardari → H. Kadamani (Substitution 4)
A. Dardari → H. Kadamani (Substitution 4)69'🔄C. Martins → M. Goncalves (Substitution 5)
C. Martins → M. Goncalves (Substitution 5)77'🔄V. Thill → S. Thill (Substitution 6)
V. Thill → S. Thill (Substitution 6)78'🔄M. Uzuni → M. Daku (Substitution 7)
M. Uzuni → M. Daku (Substitution 7)87'🟨F. Bohnert (Yellow Card)
F. Bohnert (Yellow Card)90'🔄T. de Sousa → V. Selimovic (Substitution 7)
T. de Sousa → V. Selimovic (Substitution 7)90+3'🟨A. Pajaziti (Yellow Card)
A. Pajaziti (Yellow Card)Alineaciones
Albania4-3-3
- 1Alen SherriG
- 4Elseid HysajD
- 26Bujar PllanaD
- 6Berat DjimsitiD
- 3Mario MitajD
- 14Qazim LaciM
- 20Ylber RamadaniM
- 8Kristjan AsllaniM
- 11Myrto UzuniF
- 10Nedim BajramiM
- 21Arber HoxhaF
Banco
Pano Qirko, Simon Simoni, Andi Hadroj, Arlind Ajeti, Naser Aliji, Klisman Cake, Stavros Pilios, Adrion Pajaziti, Juljan Shehu, Taulant Seferi, Luis Hasa, Armando Broja, Mirlind Daku, Cristian Shpendi
DT: Sylvio Mendes Campos Júnior
Luxemburgo4-4-2
- 1Tiago Pereira CardosoG
- 18Laurent JansD
- 2Seid KoraćD
- 13Dirk CarlsonD
- 17Mica PintoD
- 15Vincent ThillM
- 8Christopher MartinsM
- 6Tomas de Sousa MoreiraM
- 7Aiman DardariF
- 22Enzo DuarteM
- 10Danel SinaniF
Banco
Lucas Fox, Tim Kips, Enes Mahmutović, Florian Bohnert, Vahid Selimović, Eric Veiga, Alessio Curci, Miguel Fernandes Goncalves, Sebastien Thill, Edvin Muratović, Hamza Kadamani
DT: Jeff Strasser
Predicción 1·X·2
Modelo
66%X 23%12%
Mercado
57%X 26%17%
En vivo
0%X 0%100%
Goles esperados: 1.7–0.6 · marcador probable 1-0
Verde local · gris empate · celeste visitante.
¿Cómo lo calculamos?
Estimamos cada partido combinando varias señales:
- Fuerza base (Elo): Albania 1616 · Luxembourg 1450 (+166)
- Forma del último año: Albania +56 · Luxembourg +64
- Goles esperados: 1.72–0.56 (salen de Elo, ataque/defensa, localía, clima y bajas)
- Con esos goles esperados, una distribución de Poisson reparte: L 66% · X 23% · V 12% · marcador probable 1-0
✗ Falló
Predicho: Albania · Real: Luxemburgo. Le asignábamos 11.6% a lo que pasó.