← Partidos
Amistosovie, 05 jun, 18:00
Eventos
9'🔄
K. Aliyev → N. Akhundzade (Substitution 1)
K. Aliyev → N. Akhundzade (Substitution 1)29'🟨E. Badalov (Yellow Card)
E. Badalov (Yellow Card)38'🟨
K. Ewurum (Yellow Card)
K. Ewurum (Yellow Card)46'🔄J. C. Corbalan → Z. Muscat (Substitution 1)
J. C. Corbalan → Z. Muscat (Substitution 1)46'🔄A. Zammit → M. Beerman (Substitution 2)
A. Zammit → M. Beerman (Substitution 2)46'🔄A. Garzia → J. Mbong (Substitution 3)
A. Garzia → J. Mbong (Substitution 3)46'🔄E. Safarov → A. Khaybulaev (Substitution 2)
E. Safarov → A. Khaybulaev (Substitution 2)62'🔄E. Pepe → G. Mentz (Substitution 4)
E. Pepe → G. Mentz (Substitution 4)62'🔄T. Teuma → P. Mbong (Substitution 5)
T. Teuma → P. Mbong (Substitution 5)62'🔄M. Guillaumier → B. Paiber (Substitution 6)
M. Guillaumier → B. Paiber (Substitution 6)62'🔄K. Ewurum → K. Cannavo (Substitution 7)
K. Ewurum → K. Cannavo (Substitution 7)65'⚽J. Mbong · Y. Chouaref
J. Mbong · Y. Chouaref70'🔄M. Emreli → R. Dadashov (Substitution 3)
M. Emreli → R. Dadashov (Substitution 3)70'🔄T. Bayramov → R. Ahmadzada (Substitution 4)
T. Bayramov → R. Ahmadzada (Substitution 4)70'🔄Q. Aliyev → T. Mutallimov (Substitution 5)
Q. Aliyev → T. Mutallimov (Substitution 5)70'🔄N. Akhundzade → V. Isgandarli (Substitution 6)
N. Akhundzade → V. Isgandarli (Substitution 6)84'🔄Y. Chouaref → C. Zammit Lonardelli (Substitution 8)
Y. Chouaref → C. Zammit Lonardelli (Substitution 8)84'🔄B. Huseynov → A. Guseynov (Substitution 7)
B. Huseynov → A. Guseynov (Substitution 7)86'⚽A. Satariano · J. Mbong
A. Satariano · J. Mbong90+3'🔄R. Al Tumi → J. Sissons (Substitution 9)
R. Al Tumi → J. Sissons (Substitution 9)90+4'🔄A. Satariano → J. Azzopardi (Substitution 10)
A. Satariano → J. Azzopardi (Substitution 10)Alineaciones
Azerbaiyán4-2-3-1
- 11Emil BalayevG
- 1515Abbas HüseynovD
- 1414Elvin BadalovD
- 55Anton KryvotsiukD
- 33Elvin CafarquliyevD
- 1010Mahir Emreli↓70'F
- 2020Aleksey IsayevM
- 66Abdulakh Khaybulaev↑46'M
- 1616Tellur Mutallimov↑70'D
- 2222Rustam Ahmadzada↑70'M
- 1919Nariman Akhundzade↑70'F
Banco
- 2323Rza CəfərovG
- 1212Shakhrudin MagomedaliyevG
- 22Rahman DashdamirovD
- 1818Bədavi Hüseynov↑84'D
- 44Rahil MammadovD
- 2525Rüfat AbbasovM
- 2424Sabuhi AbdullazadaM
- 1717Vüsal İsgändärli↓70'M
- 88Emin MahmudovM
- 99Renat DadaşovF
- 2626Aykhan Guseynov↓84'F
- 1111Khayal Aliyev↓9'F
- 1313Emil Safarov↓46'M
- 77Toral Bayramov↓70'D
- 2121Qismet Aliyev↓70'D
Malta4-2-3-1
- 1616Rashed Al-TumiG
- 55Kurt ShawD
- 1515Myles Beerman↑46'D
- 2222Zach Muscat↑46'D
- 77Joseph Mbong↑46'M
- 44Gabriel Mentz↑62'D
- 2424Kevin Cannavò↑62'M
- 88Paul Mbong↑62'M
- 1111Brandon Paiber↑62'M
- 1919Carlo Zammit Lonardelli↑84'M
- 1717Jake Azzopardi↑90'M
Banco
- 11Henry BonelloG
- 1212James Sissons↓90'G
- 22Jean BorgD
- 33Kean SciclunaD
- 99Jake GrechM
- 1818Basil TumaF
- 1414Alejandro Garzia↓46'D
- 2121Juan Carlos Corbalan↓46'M
- 2525Andrea Zammit↓46'F
- 1313Enrico Pepe↓62'D
- 66Matthew Guillaumier↓62'M
- 1010Teddy Teuma↓62'M
- 2626Keyon Ewurum↓62'M
- 2020Ylyas Chouaref↓84'M
- 2323Alexander Satariano↓90'M
DT: Emilio De Leo
Predicción 1·X·2
Modelo
50%X 30%20%
Mercado
53%X 26%21%
En vivo
2%X 17%81%
Goles esperados: 1.2–0.7 · marcador probable 1-0
Verde local · gris empate · celeste visitante.
¿Cómo lo calculamos?
Estimamos cada partido combinando varias señales:
- Fuerza base (Elo): Azerbaijan 1322 · Malta 1255 (+67)
- Forma del último año: Azerbaijan -53 · Malta +37
- Goles esperados: 1.24–0.68 (salen de Elo, ataque/defensa, localía, clima y bajas)
- Con esos goles esperados, una distribución de Poisson reparte: L 50% · X 30% · V 20% · marcador probable 1-0
✗ Falló
Predicho: Azerbaiyán · Real: Malta. Le asignábamos 20.5% a lo que pasó.