← Partidos
Amistosovie, 05 jun, 17:00
Eventos
16'🟨
P. Popescu (Yellow Card)
P. Popescu (Yellow Card)23'⚽
G. Rusev · B. Tsonev
G. Rusev · B. Tsonev43'🟨T. Lungu (Yellow Card)
T. Lungu (Yellow Card)46'🔄P. Popescu → V. Stina (Substitution 1)
P. Popescu → V. Stina (Substitution 1)46'🔄M. Velichkov → D. Sheytanov (Substitution 1)
M. Velichkov → D. Sheytanov (Substitution 1)46'🔄D. Forov → S. Perciun (Substitution 2)
D. Forov → S. Perciun (Substitution 2)46'🔄T. Lungu → S. Bitca (Substitution 3)
T. Lungu → S. Bitca (Substitution 3)49'🟨D. Velkovski (Yellow Card)
D. Velkovski (Yellow Card)56'🔄Z. Dimitrov → M. Minchev (Substitution 2)
Z. Dimitrov → M. Minchev (Substitution 2)56'🔄G. Rusev → M. Petkov (Substitution 3)
G. Rusev → M. Petkov (Substitution 3)56'🔄I. Turitsov → P. Galchev (Substitution 4)
I. Turitsov → P. Galchev (Substitution 4)60'⚽V. Bogaciuc · V. Stina
V. Bogaciuc · V. Stina65'🔄I. Revenco → S. Turcan (Substitution 4)
I. Revenco → S. Turcan (Substitution 4)65'🔄S. Bodisteanu → D. Puscas (Substitution 5)
S. Bodisteanu → D. Puscas (Substitution 5)65'🔄V. Postolachi → V. Ciumasu (Substitution 6)
V. Postolachi → V. Ciumasu (Substitution 6)71'🟨D. Puscas (Yellow Card)
D. Puscas (Yellow Card)72'🟨? (Yellow Card)
? (Yellow Card)75'🔄L. Petkov → V. Nikolov (Substitution 5)
L. Petkov → V. Nikolov (Substitution 5)75'🔄B. Tsonev → T. Yordanov (Substitution 6)
B. Tsonev → T. Yordanov (Substitution 6)76'⚽M. Petkov · P. Galchev
M. Petkov · P. Galchev84'🔄V. Bogaciuc → O. David (Substitution 7)
V. Bogaciuc → O. David (Substitution 7)84'🔄M. Gherasimencov → L. Saca (Substitution 8)
M. Gherasimencov → L. Saca (Substitution 8)85'🔄C. Cucos → M. Stefan (Substitution 9)
C. Cucos → M. Stefan (Substitution 9)86'⚽V. Baboglo
V. Baboglo88'🔄P. Panayotov → E. Ali (Substitution 7)
P. Panayotov → E. Ali (Substitution 7)88'🔄E. Tsenov → B. Beyhan (Substitution 8)
E. Tsenov → B. Beyhan (Substitution 8)88'🔄R. Bozhinov → H. Petrov (Substitution 9)
R. Bozhinov → H. Petrov (Substitution 9)Alineaciones
Moldavia3-1-4-2
- 12Dumitru CeleadnicG
- 5Catalin CucosD
- 4Vladislav BabogloD
- 6Mihail GherasimencovD
- 8Teodor LunguM
- 16Danila ForovM
- 18Victor BogaciucM
- 10Ştefan BodişteanuM
- 14Ioan-Calin RevencoD
- 17Virgiliu PostolachiF
- 9Petru PopescuF
Banco
Emil Tîmbur, Andrei Cojuhar, Leonard Saca, Mihail Stefan, Ion Borș, Ștefan Bîtca, Victor Stina, Dan Pușcaș, Ovidiu David, Sergiu Perciun, Victor Ciumașu, Iaser Turcan
DT: Sergiu Cleşcenco
Bulgaria4-3-3
- 23Martin VelichkovG
- 19Ivan TuritsovD
- 3Andrea HristovD
- 2Rosen BozhinovD
- 21Dimitar VelkovskiD
- 24Petko PanayotovM
- 7Borislav TsonevM
- 22Emil TsenovD
- 25Lukas PetkovM
- 11Georgi RusevM
- 10Zdravko DimitrovM
Banco
Daniel Naumov, Dimitar Sheytanov, Patrik-Gabriel Galchev, Kristian Dimitrov, Hristiyan Petrov, Teodor Ivanov, Martin Georgiev, Andrian Kraev, Efe Ali, Marin Petkov, Berk Beyhan, Vladimir Nikolov, Martin Minchev, Tonislav Yordanov
Predicción 1·X·2
Modelo
14%X 23%64%
Mercado
24%X 31%46%
En vivo
0%X 100%0%
Goles esperados: 0.7–1.7 · marcador probable 0-1
Verde local · gris empate · celeste visitante.
¿Cómo lo calculamos?
Estimamos cada partido combinando varias señales:
- Fuerza base (Elo): Moldova 1265 · Bulgaria 1458 (-193)
- Forma del último año: Moldova +46 · Bulgaria -41
- Goles esperados: 0.65–1.73 (salen de Elo, ataque/defensa, localía, clima y bajas)
- Con esos goles esperados, una distribución de Poisson reparte: L 14% · X 23% · V 64% · marcador probable 0-1
✗ Falló
Predicho: Bulgaria · Real: X. Le asignábamos 22.9% a lo que pasó.